Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 9.082092e-05 0.000108 0.000126 0.000146 0.000169 0.000193 0.000221
2025-01-05 6.790044e-05 0.000090 0.000115 0.000146 0.000181 0.000221 0.000268
2025-01-12 5.321521e-05 0.000077 0.000105 0.000140 0.000183 0.000232 0.000292
2025-01-19 4.454465e-05 0.000070 0.000101 0.000142 0.000194 0.000254 0.000329
2025-01-26 3.503107e-05 0.000060 0.000092 0.000136 0.000192 0.000260 0.000346
2025-02-02 2.997371e-05 0.000055 0.000090 0.000138 0.000201 0.000278 0.000377
2025-02-09 2.510068e-05 0.000050 0.000085 0.000136 0.000205 0.000290 0.000401
2025-02-16 2.261553e-05 0.000048 0.000086 0.000141 0.000216 0.000312 0.000438
2025-02-23 1.969290e-05 0.000045 0.000084 0.000142 0.000224 0.000328 0.000466
2025-03-02 1.549754e-05 0.000039 0.000077 0.000137 0.000221 0.000331 0.000479
2025-03-09 1.243044e-05 0.000035 0.000072 0.000133 0.000221 0.000336 0.000494
2025-03-16 1.036177e-05 0.000032 0.000070 0.000132 0.000224 0.000347 0.000516
2025-03-23 8.628917e-06 0.000029 0.000068 0.000134 0.000232 0.000365 0.000550
2025-03-30 6.703333e-06 0.000026 0.000065 0.000132 0.000236 0.000377 0.000577
2025-04-06 4.833064e-06 0.000023 0.000060 0.000128 0.000234 0.000383 0.000594
2025-04-13 3.917106e-06 0.000021 0.000059 0.000129 0.000242 0.000400 0.000627
2025-04-20 2.596583e-06 0.000017 0.000054 0.000124 0.000238 0.000402 0.000639
2025-04-27 2.039667e-06 0.000016 0.000053 0.000125 0.000245 0.000418 0.000671
2025-05-04 1.467540e-06 0.000015 0.000050 0.000124 0.000248 0.000430 0.000697
2025-05-11 1.244279e-06 0.000014 0.000051 0.000128 0.000260 0.000453 0.000738
2025-05-18 9.434201e-07 0.000013 0.000050 0.000130 0.000267 0.000470 0.000771
2025-05-25 5.163888e-07 0.000011 0.000046 0.000124 0.000262 0.000470 0.000781
2025-06-01 2.748820e-07 0.000009 0.000043 0.000121 0.000261 0.000475 0.000797